Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter (2024)

Nothing can keep that weather prognosticating groundhog down.

Punxsutawney Phil was back at it againcelebrating Groundhog Day with thousands in Pennsylvania on Thursday, forecasting six more weeks of winterafter seeing his shadow during the annualspectacle at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney.

Thousands watchedon as Phil popped out of his burrow at 7:25 a.m.to frigid 20-degree weather.

Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter (1)

Groundhog Day 2023:See if Punxsutawney Phil predicts an early spring or 6 more weeks of winter

Weather forecast:Every Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil predicts the future weather. How often is he right?

What did PunxsutawneyPhil say?

Per tradition, the crowd was lead by about a dozen members of Phil's "Inner Circle," a group of men in top hats who organize the event each year.

Last year,the event held inthe borough in Jefferson County — some 65 miles northeast of Pittsburgh—returned to its traditional format after going virtual in 2021 due the COVID-19 pandemic.

Over the 137-year tradition, it is the 107th time Phil has seen his shadow.

Phil's prediction followed a massive winter storm that hit much of the U.S., causing 300,000 residents to be without power in Texas and forcing the cancellation of up to 2,200 flights. In Minnesota, residents in the northern portion of the state dealt with temperatures as low as minus 25 degrees with light winds meaning 35 below in some areasduring portions of the week.

Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter (2)

What if the groundhog sees his shadow?

The annual event has its origin in a German legend about a furry rodent. It roots back to Candlemas Day in Europe with the Christian "festival of lights" that falls on Feb.2, midway between the start and end of winter.

Tradition says Phil seeing his shadow isa sign that the next six weeks will bring wintry weather.

If Phil doesn't see his shadow,it means an early spring.

Groundhog Day trivia:5 bizarre things you didn't know about this quirky tradition in Pennsylvania

Groundhog Day explained:Origins of Punxsutawney Phil and why sunny weather means more winter

Groundhog Day isn't scientific (in fact, Punxsutawney Phil's weather predictions are wrong most of the time).

If we're being honest, it even defies common sense.

The legend is simple: the groundhog's shadow on Feb. 2 predicts the weather for the next six weeks, until the start of spring.

A sunny day means the groundhog will see his shadow —this is taken as a sign thatthe next six weeks will bring wintry weather. A cloudy day means the opposite.

What keepsPunxsutawney Phil going?

In Punxsutawney, 1886 marked the first time that Groundhog Day appeared in the local newspaper. The following year brought the first official trek to Gobbler's Knob. Each year since then has seen a steady increase in participation of the celebration from people all over the world, according to groundhog.org.

It's been the samePunxsutawney Phil for all 137 years of the tradition, according to the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club.That's over 15 times longer than the upper end of a groundhog's typical lifespan. That's an old groundhog.

Those at the club say a special diet keeps Pennsylvania's most famous groundhog coming back each year, according to the Inner Circle.

The 15 member grouptasked with protecting and perpetuatingthe legend of the great weather-predicting groundhog, claim they keep him immortal by feeding him the "groundhog punch"every year.

In the late summer, the club makes a Trek to Phil's Stump at Gobbler's Knob to feed him his “Elixir of Life,” members say.The elixir is made from a secret recipe and provides Phil with the potion that has sustained his longevity and youthful good looks, they said.

Phil's predictions of years past

Phil's first official shadow sighting came in 1887, followed by several years of no official recordings.

The first front page coverage came in 1908, when Phil saw his shadow. In 1913, John Frampton was the first to grab a photofor the newspaper of Phil spotting his shadow.

His longest stretch of seeing his shadow is 21 years, which came between 1913 and 1933. His longest streak of not seeing his shadow— two years between 2019 and 2020.

The only time he did not make an appearance came in 1943 during the middle of World War II.

He has seen his shadow the most, as he has predicted a longer winter 106(84%) times before the 2023 prediction. Here's are all of his results since 1887:

  • Saw shadow (six more weeks of winter):106
  • No shadow (early spring): 29
  • Partial shadow: 1
  • No record: 10
  • Did not appear: 1
Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter (2024)

FAQs

Groundhog Day 2023 prediction: Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, meaning 6 more weeks of winter? ›

In 2023, Phil saw his shadow at 7:25 a.m., meaning six more weeks of winter, but that prediction did not hold true. "Looking at the stats, there's only been a couple of years where we've had a no-shadow look for Phil," FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin said. "I will say, Phil is struggling with accuracy.

When the groundhog sees his shadow does that mean 6 more weeks of winter? ›

The prediction - or prognostication, as The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club calls it - focuses on what to expect with the weather for the next six weeks. If Phil sees his shadow, that means six more weeks of winter. If Phil doesn't see his shadow, it means spring is on the way.

Are we getting 6 more weeks of winter 2024? ›

Phil did not see his shadow on Friday, ending a three-year streak of predicting six more weeks of winter.

Is there always 6 more weeks of winter? ›

It derives from the Pennsylvania Dutch superstition that if a groundhog emerges from its burrow on this day and sees its shadow, it will retreat to its den and winter will go on for six more weeks; if it does not see its shadow, spring will arrive early. In 2024, an early spring was predicted.

What is the groundhogs name 2024? ›

Watch Groundhog Day 2024: Punxsutawney Phil declares an early spring. Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather-prognosticating groundhog, during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., on Friday.

How long does a groundhog live? ›

Lifespan: In the wild, groundhogs can live up to six years with two or three being average. In captivity, groundhogs reportedly live up to 14 years. Breeding: Groundhogs tend to be solitary except in the spring when a litter of four to six young are born.

Did Chuck see his shadow 2024? ›

New York's groundhog declares early spring in 2024. If you're the groundhog-forecast believing type, Staten Island Chuck has a prediction for you. New York's favorite forecasting rodent did not see his shadow and has declared an early spring.

Are we going to have an early spring 2024 in usa? ›

But the vernal equinox of 2024 had it beat. Because spring began even earlier, at 11:06 p.m. ET, all the time zones in the continental U.S. experienced the first day of spring on the 19th — at 10:06 p.m. in the Central Time Zone, 9:06 p.m. Mountain Time and 8:06 p.m. Pacific Time.

Did the groundhog come out 2024? ›

Phil!" filled the air in Pennsylvania Friday, Feb. 2, 2024, minutes before the groundhog came into the light to predict whether we'll see six more weeks of winter or an early spring. Punxsutawney Phil brought cheers as he predicted an early spring is in store for us.

How old is Phil the groundhog? ›

He is "officially" 138 years old. The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club previously said that Phil has never had any children, that is until now. Phil's longevity has come from drinking the "elixir of life."

Does Punxsutawney Phil have a wife? ›

Spring has sprung, and so, too, has the family of the United States's most famous groundhog. Punxsutawney Phil and his wife, Phyllis, are now officially parents.

Who is the wife of Punxsutawney Phil? ›

The Pennsylvania group that handles Phil, and his groundhog wife, Phyllis, says the couple have become parents. The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club said in a Facebook post Wednesday that Phyllis recently gave birth to two healthy babies.

Has the groundhog ever been wrong? ›

Phil's track record in a recent 10-year span has kept up with that historical trend, with the groundhog being right just 40% of the time, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Information.

How old was the dead groundhog? ›

Blondin believes Fred died in hibernation late last year. Fred was 9-years-old, organizers said, living far longer than the average life expectancy of three years, according to Terminix.

Who is the old groundhog? ›

Punxsutawney Phil (/ˌpʌŋksəˈtɔːni/) is a groundhog residing in Young Township near Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, who is the central figure in Punxsutawney's annual Groundhog Day celebration.

What was the old groundhogs name? ›

So the story goes, Punxsutawney Phil was named after King Phillip. Prior to being called Phil, he was called Br'er Groundhog.

How many days of winter if the groundhog sees his shadow? ›

Therefore, if the groundhog saw his shadow on Groundhog Day there would be six more weeks of winter. If he didn't, there would be 42 more days of winter.

How much longer is winter according to the groundhog? ›

According to the legend, if Phil sees his shadow on Feb. 2, he predicts six additional weeks of winter. But if he doesn't see his shadow, he predicts an early spring.

Why does a sunny day mean 6 more weeks of winter? ›

The legend is simple: the groundhog's shadow on Feb. 2 predicts the weather for the next six weeks, until the start of spring. A sunny day means the groundhog will see his shadow ― this is taken as a sign that the next six weeks will bring wintry weather.

What are the results of Groundhog Day 2024? ›

Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow in front of thousands of spectators Friday morning at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, part of the annual Groundhog Day tradition celebrated in the U.S. and Canada. That means, according to the legend, we're in for an early spring.

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